I 'll believe it when I see it
you don't believe anything until it hits you like a brick
She said she'd get a tattoo? I'll believe it when I see it, and I'll probably roll my eyes.
He said he'd lose 20 pounds? I'll believe it when I see it, and I'll probably eat the whole cake.
You said you'd show up on time? I'll believe it when I see it, and I'll probably still be waiting.