I 'll believe it when I see it
you don't believe anything unless it's right in front of your face
He said he'd stop talking during class? I'll believe it when I see it, and I'll probably still be distracted.
She said she'd stop teasing me? I'll believe it when I see it, and I'll probably still be annoyed.
You said you'd actually do your chores? I'll believe it when I see it, and I'll probably still be cleaning.